Early snow and a lot of it. That's a great winter forecast. Former State Climatologist and President of Applied Climate Services addressed the Oregon AMS chapter Wednesday evening. He shared his winter forecast which he says should be a good one for Mt. Hood Meadows.
Taylor found five "analog" years - past years that are tracking similarly to this year leading up to winter. Four of those five years saw snowfall totals substantially above average - 50% or more! The measurements are made at the Government Camp weather station at the 4,000 foot level. Snowfall totals are amplified at Meadows higher elevation (between 4500 - 7300 feet).
Taylor also notes those seasons started early, with openings by or before Thanksgiving. So this is great news for winter enthusiasts.
Taylor won't be presenting at the AMS "What will winter bring" meeting October 26 at OMSI. But several other noted climatologists will make their presentations with the benefit of one more month's worth of weather data. That's an event we are definitely looking forward to!